A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

 Yesterday

11 220 stratford Betting forecast: 11/10 San Benedeto, 5/4 Set The Trend, 8/1 Guard Of Honour, 1st 2 1.11

 Today

7 555 roscommon Betting forecast: 5/4 Manitobian, 9/4 Azzuri, 5/1 Put The Boot In
10 655 roscommon Betting forecast: 5/4 Kaleefa, 5/2 Askmour, 7/1 When In Doubt,
5 855 roscommon Betting forecast: 11/8 Sambremont, 7/4 Jarob, 11/2 Gold Patrol,
6 210 towcester Betting forecast: 11/8 Horsted Valley, 3/1 Shady Glen, 6/1 Earcomesthedream,
3 705 windsor Betting forecast: 4/5 Silver Wings, 5/4 Soapy Aitken, 20/1 Nag´s Wag.