Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 18th December 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

Yesterday

 

640 kempton Betting forecast: 6/4 Nigel´s Destiny, 100/30 Rizal Park, 9/2 Miss Buckshot, 8/1 Barnmore, 12/1 Extraterrestrial, 14/1 Norse Blues, 16/1 Sensible Way, 25/1 Steventon Star, 33/1 Top Diktat.
usual Miss Buckshot  – 3rd 6.34 win and 1.86 place
speculative Norse Blues – non runner
130 lingfield Betting forecast: 11/4 Ertidaad, 3/1 Illusive Force, 9/2 Master Of Irony, 11/2 Peterhouse, 6/1 The Olympus Man, 10/1 Rockfast, 12/1 Woofie, 20/1 Angels Above, 100/1 Sir Veillance.
usual Master of Irony  – 1st 4.01 win and 1.7 place
speculative Woofie – 5th 36
235 lingfield Betting forecast: 7/4 Razor Wind, 4/1 Persepolis, 9/2 Sheila´s Buddy, 6/1 Moonvoy, 9/1 Tee It Up Tommo, 12/1 Cayuga, 12/1 Echo Brava, 14/1 Investissement.
usual Persepolis  – 5th 8.4
speculative Cayuga – 2nd 48.07 win and 5.62 place
330 ludlow Betting forecast: 2/1 Chocca Wocca, 3/1 The Outlaw, 4/1 Sandygate, 5/1 Popular Opinion, 5/1 Smoking Jacket, 20/1 Wabanaki, 100/1 Bron Fair, 100/1 Bronwydd.
usual Sandygate  – 3rd 17 win and 2.48 place
speculative Smoking jacket – 5th 11.76

So near to a big priced winner – 2 lengths infact!

Today

1250 exeter Betting forecast: 11/8 Winter Walk, 9/4 Nitrogen, 6/1 Brandon Hill, 6/1 Onderun, 12/1 Master Hooper, 20/1 Riversbridge, 25/1 Llamadas, 25/1 Mount Prospex, 100/1 Rebel Island.
usual onderun
speculative Master Hooper

615 kempton Betting forecast: 9/4 Plaisir, 3/1 Lady Pinnacle, 4/1 Showtime Blues, 5/1 Sample, 9/1 Glorious Asset, 16/1 Ohsosecret, 25/1 Alfie The Pug, 25/1 Golden Beryl.
usual Showtime blues
speculative Glorious asset

1230 sthl Betting forecast: 11/4 Fast Charlie, 7/2 What Could She Be, 4/1 Danseur Noble, 5/1 Crusading, 6/1 Moving Upwards, 13/2 Exclusive Diamond, 25/1 Cool Beans, 28/1 Idle Talker, 50/1 Forest Missile.
usual Danseur noble
speculative Exclusive diamond
140 towcester Betting forecast: 7/4 Kincora Fort, 5/2 St Johns Point, 9/2 Kleitomachos, 11/2 Big Mike, 12/1 Tiger Feat, 16/1 Flemensbay, 25/1 Wild At Midnight, 50/1 Boardwalk Empire.
usual Kleitomachos
speculative Tiger Feat
340 towcester Betting forecast: 7/4 Presenting Lisa, 3/1 Cassie, 4/1 Anda De Grissay, 6/1 Element Quartet, 16/1 First Page, 16/1 Flea The Bar, 20/1 Ishusharella, 20/1 Pennant Lady, 33/1 Showbiz Floozy.
usual Anda de Grissay
speculative First Page