Racing Testing Lab
Laying penalised horses on the all-weather. It seems these horses are vulnerable when given a 6 lb or 12 lb penalty
Yesterday
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Laying the 3rd favourite in Novice Hurdles.
Laying the 3rd favourite in the live betting market only when the selection has decimal odds of 6 or less has proved profitable over time, laying to level stakes
Yesterday
205 cheltenham 5th 6.4
Today
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Lay the Favourite in Irish Bumpers .
A bumper race is a National Hunt Flat Race. They are found in jumps meetings and usually are the last race of the day. These races has “flat race” or a derivative thereof in the title and laying the favourite to level stakes has proven to be very profitable over time.
Yesterday –
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We don’t lay joint favourites as it doubles the chances of a horse winning.
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Lay the Favourite on the All Weather in Maidens Claimers and Sellers
The idea here is to focus on races on the All-weather ( you will see an AW in brackets at www.racingpost.com cards whenever there is an all-weather meeting.) I thought that targeting favourites in traditionally tough races ( maidens – horses who are starting out in their careers and have never won can be inconsistent), claimers ( open to upsets) and sellers( poor horses running and then being sold on) would produce a reasonable profit over time. This has proved the case so far
Yesterday
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We don’t lay co-favourites for obvious reasons.
I don’t include joint favourites when laying. Only 1 winning favourite in the last 10 qualifying races. A run of winners most unwelcome but over the long term I think we’ll see a layer’s profit.
Today
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I’ll be updating results for this soon to see if the strike rate for layers continues. Mdn = Maiden Slr = Seller clm = claimer
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Lay the favourite in the worse performing races on the all weather.
Hold on for this one as a lay system. It is actually making a profit as a backing system with a very specialist staking plan and backing all selections priced at 3.5 and under.
http://www.thestakingmachine.com/rolling_doubles.php is the staking plan and very interesting it is too. It seems perfectly suited to favourites
This staking plan and backing idea seems to be producing the goods!
Yesterday
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Today
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