Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 17th September 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

220 chepstow Betting forecast: 6/4 Cymro, 3/1 King Jerry, 6/1 Beauty Of The Sea, 10/1 Dark Kingdom, 10/1 Eagle Empire, 12/1 Chain Of Daisies, 12/1 Keen Move, 25/1 Follow The Faith.
usual Dark Kingdom 1st 15 win and 3.1 place
speculative Chain of daisies nk nk 3rd 52.65 win and 7.52 place

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350 chepstow Betting forecast: 5/2 Amadeus Wolfe Tone, 5/2 Desert Society, 6/1 Double Czech, 8/1 Peak Storm, 8/1 Solo Hunter, 8/1 Springlike, 10/1 Living Leader, 50/1 Blue Clumber.
usual Double Czech non runner
speculative Solo hunter nose 2nd 9.83 win and 2.22 place

An excellent day could have been made better were it not for another fecking nose 2nd . That’s the closest we can get.

Today

240 beverley Betting forecast: 15/8 Ajaadat, 11/4 Kelly´s Finest, 9/2 Willow Creek, 9/2 Yorkindred Spirit, 8/1 Heart Of Africa, 14/1 Almost Nowhere, 25/1 The Wee Barra, 50/1 Newgate Princess.
usual Willow Creek
speculative Heart of Africa
335 listowel Betting forecast: 11/10 Tarana, 100/30 Inis Meain, 9/2 Vintage Nouveau, 7/1 Einsteins Folly, 12/1 Drifting Mist, 16/1 Altruistic, 16/1 Beach Of Falesa, 25/1 Hold The Line, 33/1 Ode To Psyche.
usual Einsteins folly
speculative Altruistic
615 listowel Betting forecast: 10/11 Deputy´s Pass, 11/2 Thats Nice, 11/2 Thomas Ledger, 8/1 Estilaam, 8/1 Minella Arts, 16/1 Premier Style, 16/1 Sandymount Duke, 25/1 Lola Kabana, 100/1 Alfiethegreat.
usual Thomas Ledger
speculative Premier Style
340 sandown Betting forecast: 15/8 Producer, 5/1 Emell, 5/1 Tenor, 11/2 Bold Thady Quill, 7/1 Spa´s Dancer, 15/2 Cordite, 11/1 Empire Storm, 25/1 Amulet.
usual Emell
speculative Cordite
415 sandown Betting forecast: 5/2 Ramshackle, 4/1 Perfect Persuasion, 4/1 Zora Seas, 6/1 Special Miss, 7/1 Ajig, 8/1 Ligeia, 14/1 Palerma, 20/1 Tea In Transvaal.
usual Perfect Persuasion
speculative Ligeia