Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 17th September 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

8 220 chepstow Betting forecast: 6/4 Cymro, 3/1 King Jerry, 6/1 Beauty Of The Sea, 4th 1.25
8 350 chepstow Betting forecast: 5/2 Amadeus Wolfe Tone, 5/2 Desert Society, 6/1 Double Czech, 1st 1.19
5 450 chepstow Betting forecast: 5/4 Nabatean, 9/4 Fractal, 5/1 Jupiter Storm, 1st 1.29
8 210 thirsk Betting forecast: 11/8 Twilight Son, 4/1 Golden Spun 1st 1.18

Today

12 315 beverley Betting forecast: 2/1 Multi Grain, 5/2 Grand Proposal, 13/2 Duchess Of Ripon,
10 420 beverley Betting forecast: 5/2 Manatee Bay, 11/4 Bashiba, 6/1 Flash City,
11 505 kelso Betting forecast: 4/5 Prince Khurram, 3/1 Like A Diamond, 8/1 Calton Entry
4 305 sandown Betting forecast: Evs Latharnach, 6/4 Time Test, 7/1 Mister Brightside,
7 445 sandown Betting forecast: 13/8 Shama´s Crown, 3/1 Telefono, 6/1 Thurayaat,