Bankers or Blowouts

Selections for Sunday 17th May 2015

Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Sunday 17th May 2015

I wrote an article for my eletter on this subject, focussing on Banker Bets and showing you how we can profit from them.

I’ll list some apparent “bankers” in this post, and time permitting, will try to do this daily. I try to look for 1.1 odds or higher. The goal is to win back your initial stake and bank that immediately, then play on, banking profits every £10 or so.

This is not a strategy where I’m trying to create the biggest odds returns. I want a “banker”, a bet which is obvious.

Bankers and Blowouts – the mini-DRT angle.

www.drt.club is my trading service where I do all of my football research. I have noticed that these bankers, whilst sometimes frustrating us with score draws and throwing away 2-0 leads, rarely lose matches. How can you profit? Well are you familiar with football trading? That is, reacting to how a match unfolds in-play? If you are then you would have taken on faith the fact that these bankers rarely lose, and layed Dundee in play , when they were 1-3 up to bankers Aberdeen. Final score ( as you see below), 3-3. How about more frustrating bar stewards like Club Brugge the other day against Mechelen.

Staying with our premis that Bankers rarely lose, what could you have done if Mechelen ( as they did) take the lead? Lay Mechelen! Better yet, what if the match was still 0-1 coming to 90 minutes? Lay Mechelen at lower odds for potentially greater profit! You know what happened next, I am sure. Club Brugge equalised in the 90th minute.

I have already mentioned the idea of laying a team 2-0 up, to lock in profit. Consider the above elements too , in order to maximise the premis that Bankers rarely lose.

Just an added note regarding staking. If the strike rate remains as high as it is, I would recommend staying with level stakes, but re-calculating every 20 bets  which would have produced a bank of 747 pounds from an initial 100 pounds in November. Increasing the frequency to re-calculating 10% of the betting bank every 10 bets does extract a little more profit.

Plenty to ponder there. If you increase the % of bank bet, of course, then things really start getting exciting ( but ever the cautious, I’d have to warn you that it would be a big fall from grace if we hit a losing run)

At this juncture, level stakes is the only realistic staking option as some bets kick off at the same time. If you wanted other options, then select one bet at one time, as long as the next bet began after the 1st bet ended. This way you could employ “reactive” staking.

By selecting one bet for a specific time, the number of bets reduces from 225 to 137. Is there any advantage in reactive staking? Let’s take a look.

 

http://www.thestakingmachine.com/pro.php is the staking plan of interest, betting 20% of the bank ( as the assumed strike rate will continue to be high), turned 100 pounds on 22 November 2014 into 1356.48 as of today. ( as you can tell I don’t have apound sign on my keyboard lol).

We can employ a higher risk staking I think with assumed higher strike rate strategies. If doing , I would strongly urge you to withdraw initial seed money once the bank has doubled to allow you to employ these higher risk strategies using OPM  – other people’s money.

Yesterday

 

12:30 UK Arminia Bielefeld v Regensburg – 1.2 home – 2-2. My first and last ever venture into such a crap, lowly league. 1-2 down was good for the inplay trader as it was followed by a red card and an equaliser.

16:00 UK Dinamo Zagreb v Hajduk Split – 1.5 home – 4-0

17:45 UK Bray v St Patricks – 1.25 away -1-0. Another dodgy league. Bray concede 20 goals in 4 matches. St Pats score 3+ in 6 consecutive head to heads.

20:00 UK Monaco v Metz – 1.25 home – 2-0

This has made my mind up for me really as regards continuing this during the summer. Shocking league results in poor leagues which simply do not follow the form.

Today

Ufa host Zenit St Petersburg today. 1-0 to St Petersburg last time out. Both sides in desperate need of points. A win or a draw and Zenit are Champions. They are the reliable ones in Russia but not today as they are away from home.

At 330pm – Rangers are at home in the Championship play-off to Queen of the South after a 1-2 win away from home in the 1st leg. With 2 away goals today’s leg should be done and dusted. Rangers can tolerate a 0-1 defeat and still go through. So to back them at 1.44 when they don’t need to win, does not a banker make. Queen of the South have actually beaten Rangers twice recently in the league so can be competitive.

At 430pm Krasnador meet Torpedo Moscow, a team they beat 0-3 earlier this season. With Torpedo Moscow failing to score in 5 of their last 7 matches, this match actually meets my banker criteria, were it not for the fact that the other-than-Zenit Russian teams are an unreliable bunch or bar stewards. At 1.33 Krasnador are very tempting but I lost faith in Mother Russia with Dynamo Moscow the other week.

Sevilla are at home to Almeria at 6pm.1.28 home

We cannot forget that Almeria need points. The market is very definitely on the side of Sevilla here whose only loss was recently was a tight one v Real Madrid. Their form is great. A slight worry re scoring and conceding. 4th place awaits the tussle between Sevilla and Valencia so this home match must be a must win. This is Sevilla’s last home match and I expect a solid performance.

18:00 UK Espanyol v Real Madrid – 1.44 away – Real Madrid must win.Espanyol have lost 8 of 9 matches home and away v top 5. It looks compelling.

On the strict criteria Krasnador would be a banker today but I saw with Dynamo Moscow that only Zenit St Petersburg seem to be the reliable team in Russia. Real Madrid must win and I venture will win today but such is the rollercoaster ride at this part of the season that I will be reactive to what happens in-play rather than put down a pre-match bet.