Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 16th September 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

6 220 brighton Betting forecast: 5/4 Pivot Point, 9/4 Little, 9/2 Star Pursuits, 2nd 1.08
10 335 listowel Betting forecast: 11/8 Comtesse, 7/4 Adeste Fideles, 6/1 Tirghra, 3rd 1.37

Today

8 220 chepstow Betting forecast: 6/4 Cymro, 3/1 King Jerry, 6/1 Beauty Of The Sea,
8 350 chepstow Betting forecast: 5/2 Amadeus Wolfe Tone, 5/2 Desert Society, 6/1 Double Czech,
5 450 chepstow Betting forecast: 5/4 Nabatean, 9/4 Fractal, 5/1 Jupiter Storm,
8 210 thirsk Betting forecast: 11/8 Twilight Son, 4/1 Golden Spun