Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 15th September 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

7 245 bath Betting forecast: 11/8 Eternitys Gate, 5/2 Quick Touch, 9/2 Our Grey Lady, 1st 1.5
10 525 bath Betting forecast: 6/4 Penny Pepper, 11/4 Red Perdita, 11/2 Dutch Robin, 2nd 1.14
7 240 curragh Betting forecast: 11/8 Chicquita, 2/1 Tarfasha, 6/1 Mango Diva, 1st 1.44
10 340 curragh Betting forecast: 7/4 Cursory Glance, 15/8 Found, 8/1 Lucida, 1st 1.24
5 540 ffos las Betting forecast: 4/6 Spider Lily, 11/4 Going French, 10/1 Anytimeatall, 1st 1.17

Today

6 220 brighton Betting forecast: 5/4 Pivot Point, 9/4 Little, 9/2 Star Pursuits,
10 335 listowel Betting forecast: 11/8 Comtesse, 7/4 Adeste Fideles, 6/1 Tirghra,