Newcastle beat Sydney 0-4 with ease. West Ham are due to play Sydney at some point and should win easily. They play Wellington today.
3-1 to bayern leverkusen continued their good goalscoring record in friendlies.
“and ordinarily I would advocate laying any team leading 4-0 at halftime.” I suggested about 0-4 first leg leaders Ludogorets with the match done and dusted, and 1-1 it finished. Speculative but a nice 1.35 lay if you were so inclined.
5-0 only to Flora Tallin and they were offering 1.1 about a single goal before halftime which was extremely good value in these eyes so I took it.The goal came quickly.
A lovely DRT for Ze Germans U19 as Serbia took the lead. 1st entry point. Germany equalised. Trade out. Serbia took the lead 1-2 at the break. 2nd entry point. A long wait. Lay Serbia again near the end of the match. Full time 2-2 with a 91st minute Germany equaliser.
1-1 between Levadia and Prague in what was a dead rubber for the away side 7-0 ahead.
4-0 for karabakh and the 0-0 pre match lasted 15 minutes.
Another nice DRT for Anderlecht who huffed and puffed against Deinze. 0-0 at halftime and the Anderlecht goal eventually came in the 68th minute. It was an illiquid market though.
Zenit were too strong for Derby and won 0-2 keeping another clean sheet as I noted in my research.
Osnabruck took the lead against Dortmund. Another good DRT saw Dortmund respond for a 1-1.
Very happy with my 0-0 back in the Maccabi match. 0-0 at halftime , 0-0 at the hour mark. Maccabi opened the scoring with a penalty and won 2-0.
QPR beat Rot-Weiss 0-1.
Another great 0-0 pre-match as The NEw Saints kept Slovan quiet for 74 minutes but were always vulnerable as they had trouble scoring. 0-2 it ended.
1-3 eventually for Partizan against HB who scored first.
On to today
830am – Wellington Phoenix v West Ham – 1.43
Standout stats
West Ham
- 4 consecutive draws in friendlies
- only 1 loss in 12 friendlies
- only 1 win in 8 matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- very limited stats but a West Ham team anywhere near its first team will have this lot for breakfast.
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11am – Tokushima v Urawa – 1.23 away
Standout stats
- 18th v 1st in the Japanese J league
- Urawa won 4-3 last head to head.
- only 1 win all season.
- 2 draws in their last 3 matches
- only 2 clean sheets all season
- failed to score in 11 this season
- have failed to score in 6 of their 7 home matches
- lost 0-4 to 3rd at home, playing top today
- lost only 3 this season
- 5 wins and a draw in their last 6 matches, all clean sheets
- have failed to score in only 2 this season
- 4 1-0 wins, and a 0-0 in their last 6 matches
- losses have come at home to 2nd, and away v 5th and 6th
- clean sheets away v 2nd bottom and 3rd bottom. Playing bottom today
Profitable in-play opportunities
- back 0-0 pre match as insurance incase Tokushima have a 2nd consecutive home 0-0 and Urawa have a 0-0 as they did away to 3rd bottom.
- Urawa should win 0-1, 0-2 and a clean sheet looks an obvious shout.
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5pm – HJK Helsinki v Rabotnicki – 1.48 home
Standout stats
- this is a Champions League ( CL) 2nd leg and it’s 0-0 from the first leg. Advantage Rabotnicki for me, a 0-1 or a score draw sees them through. I know HJK from research and they are solid in Finland, keeping a superb number of clean sheets.
HJK
- unbeaten in 17 matches in all competitions, 14 of those with clean sheets
- only 1 loss in 27 home matches and 7 consecutive home clean sheets
- out against Nomme last year in the CL, and Celtic the year before
Rabotnicki
- Macedonian club have drawn their last 3 in the CL, albeit 2 of those were 2008
- with their last CL appearance in 2008, it is tough to research this side.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- faith in the market here, and in HJK’s amazing home record and 7 consecutive home clean sheets to steer them clear? Note HJK cannot concede first, as they failed to score an away goal in the first leg.
- If you have faith in HJK, then look at a 0-0, 1-0, 2-0 type of scoreline?
I would speculate again on backing 0-0 pre match and hoping these 2 are defensively solid. - If this match is a draw coming to the final few minutes, lay the draw as HJK are out with any score draw.
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5pm – MuSA v Harma – 1.15 home
Standout stats
- Finnish friendly. Not sure which leagues these 2 are in.
- 8 losses and a 1-1 draw for Harma, some losses were 4-0, 6-0, 6-0, 7-0, 3-7, 5-0 so it fits in with a 1.15 quite ( if the market is liquid)
Profitable in-play opportunities
- 5-0 7-0 correct scores for an interest? I’m banging on the door with these lately. 10-0 shout ended 9-0 and 6-0 shout yesterday ended 5-0.
- Don’t get carried away though! I don’t know these teams at all.
5pm – Nomme JK Kalju II v Puuma Tallinn – 1.09 home
Standout stats
- 3rd v 10th in Esiliga A in Estonia.
- Puuma have only 5 points after 19 matches
- only 2 wins in 10 but won their last 2 matches 7-1 and 1-0
- 2-3-4-5-3-2-3-0-7 scored at home in 2014 in the league
- only 1 win in 26 matches
- have lost 26 of their last 29 away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the odds are accurate here and maybe Nomme can replicate the recent 7 goals they scored at home in the league? Remember they are playing the bottom side today, with 26 losses in their last 29 aways.
- Look perhaps for a goal before halftime and lay the 0-0 halftime score if still 0-0 after 25 minutes or so.
- Speculative correct score? 7-0 starters, 5-1, 6-0 that kind of thing
- again don’t get carried away, this is the Estonian version of the Championship.
530pm – Heimstetten v 1860 Munich – 1.26 away
Standout stats
- Regionalliga v Bundesliga 2 in this German friendly
- only 1friendly on record,a 2-2
- have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
- have lost their last 3 friendlies, 3-1 v St Gallen, 3-2 v Mgladbach, and 3-2 v Cardiff. Should be competitive against a Regionalliga side.
- have lost their last 5 away friendlies
Profitable in-play opportunities
- not much to go on at all and the short priced favourite has lost their last 5 away friendlies, albeit against stronger opponents than a Regionalliga side. Having scored 2 against Cardiff and Mgladbach, there is a hope 1860 can score at least 2 today against perceived weaker opponents.
6pm – Numancia v Atl Madrid – 1.33 away
Standout stats
- Segunda Division take on La Liga Champions
Numancia
- only 2 wins in 14 in all competitions
- have scored in their last 7 friendlies
- won their last 2 friendlies 0-4 and 0-5 v Burgos and Arandina
- Beat Real Valladolid in 2011 2-1
Atl Madrid
- 11 wins and a 1-0 loss to Estudiantes in their last 12 friendlies
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 friendlies
Profitable in-play opportunities
- friendlies are always tough to call ( dortmund for instance tend to win theirs but drew 1-1 , coming from behind, yesterday)
- Atl Madrid have 11 wins in 12 friendlies but tough to gauge their opponents against today’s
- Numancia tend to get a goal in friendlies, so hope they score first.
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630pm – Steaua Bucharest v Stromsgodset – 1.53 home
Standout stats
- 1-0 for Steaua and a precious away goal for this Champions League ( CL) 2nd leg tie.
- have conceded 1-1-0-1-0 in recent CL matches. A clean sheet tonight and they are through.
- A score draw tonight and they are through
- 4 draws at home in their last 5 home CL matches augurs well. The only loss was v Chelsea
- this is this Norwegian side’s first CL encounter so limited stats here
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the know-how of Steaua to get them through. They haven’t been losing CL home matches ( unless meeting exceptional teams like Chelsea) and a replication of recent 1-1 draws will see them through. A 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 sees Steaua through.
- Stroms need a 0-1 to regain parity , a 0-2 to go through or a score draw above 1-1
- I would favour the nouse of the home side here who have CL experience to call upon.
- This could be a tight one, so perhaps a 0-0 back to lay trade , backing 0-0 pre-match at its highest point and laying off if, as I hope, this is a protracted 0-0.
630pm – Wolfsberger AC v Chelsea – 1.35 away
Standout stats
- many thanks to the Special Needs One for orchestrating a nice Chelsea recovery to win 2-3 and a lovely DRT against AFC Wimbledon
Wolfsberger
- are an Austrian Bundesliga side.
- they have not won their last 3 friendlies, losing to Split and Union Berlin. It seems a case of 4th time unlucky today.
Chelsea
- easy assignments with a 0-5 win against Wycombe and a 2-3 v AFC where Chelsea were 2-0 down until the 74th minute. A great DRT
Profitable in-play opportunities
- team news key for Chelsea. Likely a game of 2 halves and 2 different teams each half. Chelsea should win comfortably. They showed against AFC that they can extricate themselves from a precarious position , even in friendlies. More of the same tonight!
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7pm – NK Maribor v Zrinjski – 1.43 home
Standout stats
- this is another 2nd leg Champions League ( CL) match and at 0-0 all is to play for
- Advantage Zrinkski as they are after the away goal that NK failed to score
- only 2 wins in their last 8 matches in all competitions
- only 1 win in their last 9 CL matches. Plzen were too much for them in 2013. Easier assignment today?
- have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 at home in the CL
- Bosnian side wish Dzecko was playing for them. They need an away goal and a 0-1, or score draw sees them through with the minimum of fuss.
- limited CL form
Profitable in-play opportunities
- in a tough day, this is another toughie to call. NK are having trouble scoring at home, Zrinjski are an unknown quantity.
- Quite simply you are either with the 1.43 for NK or against it. Remember the away side need a single goal and ideally to score first to put NK in all sorts of bother.
- I think if Zrinjski score first, I’d back 0-1, then lay them and back NK with split stakes ( so if you back 0-1 to win, say £50, then lay Zr for £25 liability and back NK with £25 stake.
For reference only as the markets are terrible as I wrte.
730pm – Deveronvale v Inverness CT – 1.11 away illiquid
730pm – Hartlepool v Sunderland – illiquid
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745pm – St Patricks v Legia Warsaw – 1.82 away
Standout stats
- the Champions League( CL) 2nd leg. 1-1 from the first leg. A big surprise for the betting market which had Legia Warsaw as very short priced strong favourites.
St pats
- have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches in all competitions
- unbeaten in 8 in all competitions at home, winning 7 of those.
- onlytheir 2nd Champions League match. St pats have the away goal and Legia only scored a 90th minute equaliser.
Legia Warsaw
- no win in 4 in all competitions.
- 5 consecutive draws now in the CL , score drawing 4 of those. A score draw over 1-1 will ensure Legia go through on away goals.
- Legia’s last 2 away matches in the CL were 1-1 draws and in 2013 they conceded 1 goal in each of their 3 CL away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Permutations? With the away goal, St Pats need anything to nil to go through, 1-0, 0-0.
- Any score draw over 1-1 and Legia go through. A 0-1 and Legia go through 2-1 on aggregate and both teams on parity away goals wise.
- This has the feel of a tight match this evening. A 0-0, 0-1, 1-1 kind of vibe about it. Is 0-0 worth backing pre match as we did with success yesterday?
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